Private sector may suffer in Q1 due to nationwide cash shortage – Report

Sally Moske
Sally Moske

According to data from Stanbic IBTC Bank’s February Purchasing Managers’ Index, the private sector may have to suffer midway through the first quarter of the year as a result of the nationwide cash shortage in February.

Recall that Nigerians experienced a fuel and naira shortage in February.

The headline PMI fell below the no-change threshold of 50.0 in February, posting 44.7 compared to 53.5 in January, according to a portion of the report. A 31-month stretch of expansion came to an end as the business climate sharply deteriorated.

“With the exception of the COVID-19 pandemic’s initial wave in the second quarter of 2020, the fall in operating conditions was the steepest since the survey’s start in January 2014.

“Output and new orders suffered significantly as a result of cash shortages since customers were frequently unable to get the monies necessary to commit to spending, which had a negative impact on both.

It said, “The output dip halted a seven-month streak of increase, while the decline in new orders was the first since June 2020. Except from the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the decreases in both cases were the most dramatic in the survey’s history.

“When new orders and output declined, businesses cut back on their input purchases and employee levels. The decreases marked the start of respective downturns of 32 and 25 months. The decline in purchases was due to a combination of decreased client demand and financial struggles faced by businesses in order to make purchases.

The report also demonstrated how a lack of money increased the price of fuel and the operating expenses of companies and organizations.

“Lower currency value and higher expenses for raw materials were further factors driving increasing buying prices.

“The inflation rate was the lowest since June 2020, yet it was still significant and higher above the series average. Employee costs increased once more in February, though more slowly,” the report added.

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